Sunday, December 31, 2017

An extended period of cold (including sub-freezing) temperatures and wind chills has begun...

Cold, arctic air will continue to filter into the area today through Wednesday morning, resulting in an extended period of cold air temperatures and bitterly cold Wind Chill values across the local region. Some spotty very light precipitation is also possible into tonight in at least some parts of the area. Please see below for details on all expected impacts.

...Wind Chill Impacts...

Present indications suggest that Wind Chill values will average the teens and 20s for an extended time, from near 12 Noon Today through about 11am on Wednesday. Within this broad time period, minimum Wind Chill values may approach 10 degrees around sunrise on Monday morning and then again during the pre-dawn hours on Tuesday morning.

If you must be outside for extended time periods during the above mentioned period, precautions should be taken to prevent frost bite and/or increased fatigue due to the colder temperatures. We recommend wearing loose fitting clothing in multiple layers, as well as a heavy coat, gloves, scarf and a hat that covers the ears. For maximum protection, a ski mask or other face covering should be used especially if you must be outdoors for greater than 15 minutes at a time during the above mentioned period, and especially during the period of minimum Wind Chills noted above.

...Temperature Impacts...

In addition to the concern due to bitterly cold Wind Chills, actual air temperatures will also become quite cold during the same time period. Below are the forecast minimum and maximum air temperatures forecast for Sunday-Wednesday (on average for the local area):
Day: Low/High
Today: 29/43 (falling daytime temperatures)
Monday: 22/31
Tuesday: 20/32
Wednesday: 19/47

The high temperature Today occurred during the pre-dawn hours this morning. Temperatures will slowly fall into the 30s throughout the remainder of the day Today.

Actual air temperatures will be at or below the freezing mark for an approximate 62-hour period from 8pm Today through 10am Wednesday. The amount of time with at or below freezing air temperatures may be slightly longer in Northern parts of the local area, and slightly shorter in extreme Southern parts of the local area, but 62 hours will be the average across the region.

Precautions should be taken to prevent freezing and/or bursting of pipes, particularly in older and/or poorly insulated structures during the above mentioned time period. To mitigate the risk of frozen pipes, we recommend allowing the cold water drip from the faucet served by exposed pipes. Running water through the pipe - even at a trickle - helps prevent pipes from freezing. It is also a good idea to keep the thermostat set to the same temperature both during the day and at night to avoid fluctuations in the air temperature surrounding the exposed pipes.

...Precipitation Impacts...

Patchy light drizzle and/or spotty very light rain will continue into this afternoon and then decrease starting this evening into early tonight. Some of the precipitation may mix with or change to spotty light freezing drizzle this evening (mainly after 6-7pm) as temperatures begin to approach and then reach the freezing point. This will especially be the case in Northern parts of the local area. Due to the fact that the precipitation will be very light in intensity and very spotty in nature by that time, no significant impacts from icing are expected locally.

We will continue monitoring trends regarding precipitation and temperatures for this period and issue any updates if conditions warrant.

...Recap of Primary Local Concerns...

To recap, the primary local impacts from this event will be the extended period of cold temperatures (including an unusually long period of sub-freezing temperatures) and wind chills. Please take appropriate precautions as noted above to minimize these impacts during the event.



We will continue monitoring the situation and issue updates as conditions warrant.

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