The potential exists for thunderstorm activity across at least some parts of the local area during two specific time periods on Tuesday. The first is on Tuesday morning, and the second is after Sunset on Tuesday evening, into Tuesday night.
...Tuesday Morning...
Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop in far southwest Texas and adjacent portions of far northwest Mexico later this evening into early tonight. It is possible that some of this activity may move and/or develop far enough toward the East to reach parts of the local area on Tuesday morning, but this is not a certainty at this time. At this time we would place the probability of this happening at around 30 percent. If any thunderstorms do move into the local area from the West on Tuesday morning, it would most likely occur sometime from near sunrise through possibly 10am. Brief, heavy downpours of rain would be the primary concern with any thunderstorms during that time, as well as lightning.
...After Sunset on Tuesday Evening, Into Tuesday Night...
A somewhat higher chance of thunderstorm activity appears to be shaping up for the local area late on Tuesday evening (after Sunset) into Tuesday night. Thunderstorms are expected to form out over the Hill Country late on Tuesday afternoon. Some of this activity may move and/or develop into the local area after Sunset, into mainly early Tuesday night/pre-dawn Wednesday (mainly before 2am on Wednesday).
There is some uncertainty regarding the Tuesday evening/Tuesday night time period locally, as the bulk of the thunderstorm activity may form and/or move in such a way as to remain to the immediate West of the local area. It will be difficult to assess this potential until sometime during the day on Tuesday. We will continue to assess the latest trends and issue updates as this becomes more clear.
If thunderstorm activity does move or develop into the local area on Tuesday evening after Sunset, it would likely result in areas of locally heavy rainfall, and a few stronger storms could also produce strong, gusty winds and perhaps some hail in some parts of the area. Again, this potential will be highest from after Sunset on Tuesday evening through about 2am on Wednesday morning across the local region.
...Tuesday Morning...
Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop in far southwest Texas and adjacent portions of far northwest Mexico later this evening into early tonight. It is possible that some of this activity may move and/or develop far enough toward the East to reach parts of the local area on Tuesday morning, but this is not a certainty at this time. At this time we would place the probability of this happening at around 30 percent. If any thunderstorms do move into the local area from the West on Tuesday morning, it would most likely occur sometime from near sunrise through possibly 10am. Brief, heavy downpours of rain would be the primary concern with any thunderstorms during that time, as well as lightning.
...After Sunset on Tuesday Evening, Into Tuesday Night...
A somewhat higher chance of thunderstorm activity appears to be shaping up for the local area late on Tuesday evening (after Sunset) into Tuesday night. Thunderstorms are expected to form out over the Hill Country late on Tuesday afternoon. Some of this activity may move and/or develop into the local area after Sunset, into mainly early Tuesday night/pre-dawn Wednesday (mainly before 2am on Wednesday).
There is some uncertainty regarding the Tuesday evening/Tuesday night time period locally, as the bulk of the thunderstorm activity may form and/or move in such a way as to remain to the immediate West of the local area. It will be difficult to assess this potential until sometime during the day on Tuesday. We will continue to assess the latest trends and issue updates as this becomes more clear.
If thunderstorm activity does move or develop into the local area on Tuesday evening after Sunset, it would likely result in areas of locally heavy rainfall, and a few stronger storms could also produce strong, gusty winds and perhaps some hail in some parts of the area. Again, this potential will be highest from after Sunset on Tuesday evening through about 2am on Wednesday morning across the local region.
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