Shower and scattered thunderstorm activity will gradually increase in coverage and frequency across much of the region from Sunday afternoon through Wednesday evening. The activity is expected to peak in coverage/frequency locally from later Monday afternoon (i.e., after 3-4 pm) through about 6pm on Wednesday, based on present indications.
Locally heavy downpours of rain are possible at times with heavier showers and scattered thunderstorms, mainly from later Monday afternoon through Wednesday evening.
Present indications suggest that 2-3 inches of rainfall is likely on average for most of the area, with locally higher amounts of 3-5 inches possible in some spots where any heavier showers may persist for longer time periods during the event.
As mentioned in previous updates, we do not currently see this as a situation where significant/long duration flooding is likely across the local area. Instead, look for the possibility of localized areas of relatively minor/nuisance type flooding for generally short time periods in association with any concentrated pockets of heavier showers. Low water crossings and similar areas will be most vulnerable to such a possibility at times, especially from late Monday afternoon through Wednesday evening.
We will continue monitoring the situation and issue updates as conditions warrant.
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