Still Looking for Wet Weather Sunday thru At Least Wednesday...

An area of disturbed weather is currently located over the southern Gulf of Mexico and the Bay of Campeche. This system will continue to move into the western Gulf of Mexico through this weekend. At this time it continues to appear as though this system is not likely to organize into a formal tropical storm or hurricane. Instead, the system will likely remain a "tropical wave" or "tropical disturbance". Regardless as to the formal extent of development with this system, it will bring increasing moisture to the local region during the period Sunday through Wednesday.

Present indications suggest that shower and scattered thunderstorm activity will likely increase in coverage and frequency across much of the region starting especially during the day on Sunday and will continue - frequently at times - through Wednesday. Based on present indications, the "peak" of potential rainfall activity would likely be on Monday through Tuesday night of next week - but that could change if the track and/or speed of the system deviates from what is currently expected.

Periods of locally heavy downpours can be expected at times in association with heavier showers and scattered thunderstorms during the period.

Present indications suggest that storm total rainfall of 2-4 inches is likely on average for most of the local area with this event. Locally higher amounts of 4-6 inches are possible in spots, depending upon exactly where heavier bands of rain may become established and more concentrated at times during the period.

Periods of locally heavy downpours are likely to cause issues at times in parts of the area, especially in the typically problematic low lying and poor drainage areas, especially if heavier downpours persist for longer time periods in a given part of the area. Flooding of low water crossings and other typical problem areas is possible at times in at least some parts of the area during the aforementioned period.

The above information is based upon our current knowledge of the situation and how it appears that it will likely evolve at this time. This forecast is subject to change as the situation continues to develop - so please monitor for later updates which we will issue as conditions warrant.

This is a developing weather situation with much uncertainty still involved. We will continue to monitor the latest trends and issue updates as conditions warrant.