Sunday, October 14, 2018

Major Cold Blast Still on Tap for Tonight into Mid-Week...

A very strong cold front will blast into the region tonight and into the pre-dawn hours of Monday, bringing a variety of significant weather impacts to the area through Tuesday.

...Wind Impacts...
North winds will increase to 20-25 mph sustained with frequent gusts of 30-35 mph starting between Midnight tonight and 2am Monday and will continue into late Monday evening. During this same time period, some gusts of 35-40 mph are also possible at times, especially from 5am to 1pm on Monday.

...Temperature Impacts...
Temperatures will fall from a pre-dawn high in the lower to mid 70s, into the 50s during the morning and perhaps the upper 40s by Monday afternoon. Wind chill or "feels like" temperatures will mainly be in the 40s during the morning on Monday and may reach the upper 30s during the afternoon hours on Monday. For Tuesday, temperatures will range from the lower to middle 40s in the morning to the upper 40s to lower 50s during the afternoon, with wind chills mainly in the 40s throughout the day. Readings should moderate into the upper 50s by Wednesday afternoon.

...Rainfall and Thunderstorm Impacts...
Showers and thunderstorms are likely along/ahead of the cold front from near Midnight into the early pre-dawn hours of Monday, some with locally heavy downpours of rain in some parts of the area. An isolated stronger thunderstorm between Midnight tonight and 3am Monday may also produce strong, gusty winds, fueled in part by the strength of the winds associated with the cold front itself. Behind the front, a raw, cold light rain and periodic moderate showers will occur at times area-wide on Monday and Tuesday. Activity will likely become more scattered in nature on Wednesday.

Average total rainfall of 1-2 inches is likely for most of the local area from tonight through Tuesday evening. Locally higher amounts are possible in some spots. While there could be some localized concerns with regard to ponding of water, "street flooding" or other minor issues in a few of the low lying/poor drainage areas at times, this does not appear to be the type of event where significant flooding is likely area-wide.

We will continue monitoring the situation and issue updates as conditions warrant.

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