Rain will increase this evening, continue at times through late Wednesday afternoon...

...Overview...
Periods of rain and possibly an occasional isolated isolated thunderstorms will increase across the area from now into this evening and then continue at times through late Wednesday afternoon or early Wednesday evening. Locally heavy downpours of rain are possible at times with some of this activity in at least some parts of the area, especially during the daytime hours on Wednesday. Any concentrated areas of heavier rain could lead to mostly minor flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas such as low water crossings at times in at least some parts of the local area, especially on Wednesday.


...Forecast Rainfall Amounts...
Average total rainfall of 2-3 inches can be expected at most locations during the period, with locally higher amounts possible in some spots. Present indications suggest the rainfall is likely to be most widespread and/or possibly heavy at times locally from mid-morning (i.e., near 9am) on Wednesday through about Sunset on Wednesday. The period of time with expected heavier downpours at times will likely include the afternoon rush transportation period on Wednesday based on present indications.


...Potential Flooding Risks...
Due to saturated ground conditions and continued moderate to high river and stream levels across the region, conditions will need to be monitored closely for potential low land flooding at times, especially on Wednesday. If such flooding were to occur locally, it would most likely consist of periods of high water in the typical low lying and flood prone areas such as low water crossings and similar areas, and again, this would most likely be of concern during the day on Wednesday, and perhaps into Wednesday evening, per present indications.


...A Note on the Uncertainties with this Forecast...
While computer forecast model guidance has come into better agreement today vs. yesterday, there is still a somewhat higher than normal amount of uncertainty associated with the forecast, particularly with regard to the most likely rainfall amounts across the area through the period. Another update may be required later this evening or tomorrow morning to make a final adjustment to forecast rainfall amounts particularly for the Wednesday daytime period.



We will continue monitoring the situation and issue updates as conditions warrant.