A cold front will move across the region on Wednesday afternoon, causing shower and thunderstorm activity both along it and well behind it into Wednesday evening. At this time we expect showers and thunderstorms to be most numerous across the local area from around/shortly after 4-5pm through about 10pm on Wednesday, and then decrease in coverage from after 10pm Wednesday on into the pre-dawn hours of Thursday morning.
Locally heavy downpours of rain and lightning can be expected at times with any thunderstorms. A few strong thunderstorms are also possible, which could produce strong, gusty winds and/or spotty hail in some parts of the area. At this time the most likely time period for any stronger activity locally appears to be from around or shortly after 4-5pm through about 8-9pm.
Please also note that strong to severe thunderstorm activity is likely to be even more numerous to the immediate East and Northeast of the local area on Wednesday afternoon and evening.
Regarding the threat of locally heavy downpours across the local area, please keep in mind that ground conditions remain very damp to wet from recent rainfall. Any concentrated areas of locally heavy downpours could result in minor flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas at times from late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday evening.
We will continue monitoring the situation and issue updates as conditions warrant.
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