Thursday, May 2, 2019

Better chance of showers and t-storms across the area today/this evening...


Expected impacts:
  • Isolated to widely scattered rain showers are possible this morning, mainly before 10am
  • Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible mainly toward/after 2-3pm and are expected to increase toward/after 5-6pm and into this evening
  • Locally heavy downpours of rain and lightning are likely at times with any thunderstorms
  • A few stronger thunderstorms could also produce strong, gusty winds and/or hail in some parts of the area mainly after 3pm, into parts of this evening
  • If thunderstorms with heavy rain occur more than one time in the same part(s) of the area, minor flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas could result at times, especially this evening
Discussion:
...Synopsis...
An outflow boundary from thunderstorms in north Texas last night is moving into the local area at this time. There are scattered showers along this boundary, but most are light, and this type of activity will continue through mid-morning before dissipating. This boundary, along with a disturbance approaching from the West, are expected to serve as a focus for new thunderstorm development later this afternoon and into this evening.

...This Morning...
Isolated to widely scattered rain showers are possible, mainly before 10am.

...This Afternoon and Evening...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible mainly toward/after 2-3pm and are expected to increase in number especially toward/after 5-6pm and into the evening hours. The activity will likely decrease and/or move East out of the area by Midnight tonight.

...Potential Hazards with Thunderstorms Later This Afternoon and Evening...
Locally heavy downpours of rain and lightning are likely at times with any thunderstorms this afternoon and/or evening. If clusters of heavy downpours occur more than one time over the same portions of the area, this could lead to mostly minor flooding at times, mainly in low lying and poor drainage areas this evening into tonight (as runoff continues). In addition, a few stronger thunderstorms could also produce strong, gusty winds and/or hail in some parts of the area mainly after 3pm, into parts of this evening hours.


We will continue monitoring the situation and issue updates as conditions warrant.

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