...Synopsis...
We are continuing to closely monitor a developing weather situation for the period Monday afternoon into Tuesday. While some specific details (as to exact rainfall amounts, etc.) are yet to be worked out, it appears probable that locally heavy rainfall can be expected at times across at least some portions of the area mainly during the day on Tuesday, which could lead to flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas at times. This will be the first of several rain events to impact the area this week, each of which will carry a risk for locally heavy rainfall.
...Forecast...
There is a chance for an isolated or widely scattered shower or thunderstorm on Monday afternoon or Monday evening, but present indications suggest the majority of the area will remain dry during that time period. Showers and thunderstorms are likely to begin developing near dawn on Tuesday and then increase into much of the daytime hours, ending by around 6pm Tuesday. Locally heavy rainfall and lightning can be expected at times with thunderstorms, most numerous at times during the day on Tuesday.
...Flood Risk...
Due to recent heavy rainfall and saturated ground conditions, there will be a higher than normal risk of low land flooding throughout the period in the affected portions of the area, to include probable impacts at times on at least some low water crossings, etc. Present trends suggest that any issue on Monday afternoon or evening would be very isolated. The primary concern is expected to occur during the day on Tuesday especially by the afternoon transportation period, the extent to which will become more clear in later updates.
...A Note About the Remainder of This Week...
Please also be aware that additional periods of shower and thunderstorm activity are likely at various times from Wednesday through Saturday of this week. An elevated risk of low land flooding will continue throughout the week due to recent heavy rainfall, saturated grounds, and the probability of additional heavy rain at times in at least some portions of the local area each day (generally except for Monday).
We will continue monitoring the situation and issue updates as conditions warrant.
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