Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely across the local area from now into the evening hours. When shower and thunderstorm activity are present, they are likely to move from the Southwest to the Northeast across the area in general, though some erratic movement is possible at times with some of the activity.
Locally heavy downpours of rain and lightning can be expected at times with any thunderstorms. The activity will tend to move slowly - likely at 10-15 mph on average. This could result in minor flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas (such as low water crossings, etc.) at times in the affected areas, especially in those parts of the area that received heavier downpours yesterday and/or early this morning.
The atmosphere has destabilized somewhat since the rain from earlier today but it is not, however, highly unstable. Therefore, the risk of any significant and/or organized "severe" weather this evening appears low for the local area. An isolated stronger thunderstorm could produce gusty winds and/or spotty, mostly smaller size hail in mainly isolated portions of the area. The risk of strong to severe thunderstorm activity will be higher (and the activity likely more numerous) to the South of the local area, based on present indications.
We will continue monitoring the situation and issue updates as conditions warrant.
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